Tuesday, 21 October 2008

Challenge Spurs™ - The Challenge and the Forecast





















The Challenge


30 points minimum by January 1st.

12 games.
6 at home.
6 away.
36 possible points.



The Forecast


Here's the Dirty Dozen:


(H) Bolton
(A) Arsenal
(H) Liverpool
(A) Man City
(A) Fulham
(H) Blackburn
(H) Everton
(A) West Ham
(H) Man Utd
(A) Newcastle
(H) Fulham
(A) WBA


30 points is such a massive task for one simple reason. We've picked up 2 from 8 games, so form wise - taken into account the last few performances - we are unlikely to win any of them. But something has to give, right? Something has to give. So, we may as well humour the hypothetical. Its nigh impossible to predict results ahead of the next one for the simple reason that as shit as we are, if we do get something out of the Bolton game then our form might progress to the point where we start winning games and playing well. Confidence can do wonders.

So, let's pretend Spurs will take charge of their destiny and attempt to be realistic with the predictions:


Game 01 - (H) Bolton ---------------- W 3 points
Game 02 - (A) Arsenal --------------- L
Game 03 - (H) Liverpool ------------- D 1 point
Game 04 - (A) Man City ------------- D 1 point
Game 05 - (A) Fulham --------------- W 3 points
Game 06 - (H) Blackburn ------------ W 3 points
Game 07 - (H) Everton -------------- W 3 points
Game 08 - (A) West Ham ------------ D 1 point
Game 09 - (H) Man Utd ------------- L
Game 10 - (A) Newcastle ------------ D 1 point
Game 11 - (H) Fulham -------------- W 3 point
Game 12 - (A) WBA ----------------- W 3 point


That gives us a measly 22 points. Which means at Christmas we'll have a grand total of 22 points. That's 8 short of 30, which means Spurs will simply not be able to afford any slip ups into January through to May, and that might still not be enough. Maybe we need to be tapping up Santa Claus.

In the above predicted results I've given us the following proud stats:

  • 4 home wins from 6
  • 2 away wins from 6
  • 4 draws
  • 2 defeats

Realistic enough? Obviously again, all dependent on the Bolton game/result the game directly after that one (Arsenal - gulp). Two straight defeats, then we'll be lucky to pick up 5 points before Boxing Day.

Turning the draws into victories will be the difference. Any of those turning into defeats and we'll be down before we visit the JJB.

After Xmas, comes 2009. Which brings us onto the following games:

(A) Wigan
(H) Portsmouth
(H) Stoke
(A) Bolton
(H) Arsenal

All of which will be of no consequence, depending on what happens now till Xmas.


Ideal (fantasy) Scenario?


6 home wins (18 points)
3 away wins (9 points)
2 away draw (2 points)
1 defeat (not ideal, but I'm already deep in imagination land with the rest of this scenario)


= 29 points + 2 we have already = 31 points

Mission Accomplished. Either way, 22 or 31, the points ratio has to pick up from game to game.

So, the aim of Challenge Spurs™ is simply for the team to achieve the points tally as outlined under 'The Forecast' or better it.

Excited? I'm shitting bagels.

14 comments:

paul williams said...

More chance of winning the lottery...

filthy said...

Maybe we can blag Tevez on a short-term loan deal?

Anonymous said...

You only gave us 1 point for each of the last two wins in your predictions list, if you give us 3 points then we get 22 points. But I still think that that's overly optimistic.

the machine said...

Spurs can't beat the likes of Utd and Arsenal in the league when we are GOOD. No chance of winning against either when we are this BAD.

Who do you think we are? West Ham United?

spooky said...

Anyon - Thanks. My maths is dire. I've corrected the blog entry and the new totals make not a slight bit of positive difference.

Rejoice.

The Truthness said...

We'll get the 30 points and then work our way up to about 16th/15th and make a nest there.

Anonymous said...

this season is already a write-off anyway from a league point of view. If we get 25+ points come 2009 i'll be amazed - with 20 games played and 25 points gained, we'll probably end up on around 50 points.

oracle said...

My predictions:


Bolton - W
Arsenal - D
Liver - W
City - L
Fulham - W
Rovers - W
Everton - D
West H - W
Man U - L
New - L
Fulham - W
WBA - W


23 Points.

Jep said...

Bolton - D
Arsenal - D
Liver - D
City - D
Fulham - W
Rovers - W
Everton - W
West H - W
Man U - L
New - D
Fulham - W
WBA - W


23 Points. I can see a trend here...

oops said...

Can I play?

Bolton - W
Arsenal - L
Liver - L
City - L
Fulham - W
Rovers - W
Everton - W
West H - W
Man U - D
New - W
Fulham - W
WBA - W


25 points over here. COYS!

the machine said...

Bolton - W
Arsenal - L
Liver - L
City - D
Fulham - W
Rovers - D
Everton - W
West H - L
Man U - L
New - W
Fulham - W
WBA - W


20 points + certain relegation. A bumper Christmas special!!

Gill said...

Bolton - D
Arsenal - L
Liver - L
City - L
Fulham - D
Rovers - D
Everton - W
West H - L
Man U - L
New - D
Fulham - W
WBA - D


12 Points. I think my prediction is by far the most realistic so far.

Anonymous said...

Well you were all wrong!

A win againt Bolton, Draw at Emirates, Beat Liverpool, Beat City, Lost (poorly) to Fulham and beat Blackburn yesterday.

spooky said...

Onwards and upwards!